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Modest Overnight Weakness Reverses, ISM Services Ahead

US TSYS SUMMARY

Tsys are mixed in the return to cash trading following the long weekend. A fairly light calendar lies ahead Tuesday.

  • Modest weakness in futures Monday and overnight Tuesday reversed in European trading as equities slipped from the highs. WTI crude hitting best levels since 2014, weak German factory data, and RBA taking first steps to wind back stimulus were the major overnight talking points, though none had much impact on Tsys.
  • The 2-Yr yield is up 0.2bps at 0.2357%, 5-Yr is down 0.5bps at 0.8525%, 10-Yr is down 0.3bps at 1.4204%, and 30-Yr is down 0.1bps at 2.039%.
  • Sep 10-Yr futures (TY) up 3/32 at 132-24.5 (L: 132-18.5 / H: 132-26), decent volume (>360k).
  • Data focus is Jun ISM Services at 1000ET, preceded by final Jun Services/Composite PMI.
  • No scheduled Fed speakers ahead of the June meeting minutes Wednesday.
  • In supply, $111B in 3-/6-month bills auctioned at 1130ET (and note, no supply Weds).
  • NY Fed buys ~$12.425B of 0-2.25Y Tsys.

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