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Momentum In Services, Core Goods HICP Decelerating Sharply (2/2)

EUROZONE DATA

Looking at 3M/3M inflation momentum based on the seasonally-adjusted HICP series, there was likewise disinflationary progress evident across the board:

  • Headline Eurozone HICP momentum as calculated by MNI declined to a three-month low 3.03% 3M/3M SAAR (vs 4.49% prior) after an uptick in October.
  • Core (ex-energy/food) momentum printed at 2.03% (down from 3.18% in September and the lowest since July 2021).
  • Services inflation momentum saw a sizeable deceleration to 2.92% (vs 3.77% prior), alongside non-energy industrial goods which decelerated markedly to a 29-month low 0.75% (vs 2.15% prior).
  • Further detail into the deceleration in sequential prices will be available upon the final November inflation report on December 19.
  • But as the major expected headline upside drivers for December are primarily non-core or due to seasonal effects, core momentum seems on track for further underlying easing next month as well.

Source: ECB, MNI Calculations

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