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Momentum on ZAR Remains Firms Despite Broad USD Strength

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USDZAR has been trending lower in the past week despite broad USD strength; the pair is currently trading slightly below the 14.50 level after breaking below 14.5410 yesterday (which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 13.41 – 16.37 range).
  • 'Risk on’ ZAR is the second-best performing currency among the EM world, up 10% against the USD, mainly supported by the elevated real yields, record current account surpluses and trending commodities.
  • The surge in implied volatility this year has not impacted the rand, which has historically been sensitive to high-volatility regime.
  • Next key support to watch on the downside stands at 14.30, which corresponds to the low of its LT downward trending range.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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