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Free AccessMuted Demand and High Storage Weigh on LNG Prices
LNG delivered ex-ship to northwest Europe in March was the lowest since June 6 at $7.59/mmbtu according to data from Spark Commodities. Asia prices also fell to multi month lows of 9.44$/mmbtu.
- US LNG exports are still slightly more profitable to Asia over Europe with the netback for March at 6.04$/mmbtu to Asia and 5.96$/bmmbtu to Europe according to BNEF.
- TTF front month has recovered slightly today after falling to the lowest since July at 25.625€/MWh yesterday amid high inventories, subdued demand with a warm February forecast and strong renewables generation.
- LNG supplies so far this month have fallen 15% to 4.7bcm month on month due to Qatar shipment delays and low demand. European LNG sendout was down at 296mcm/d on Feb 11 compared to an average of 329mcm/d so far in Feb and around 430mcm/d this time last year.
- Five more LNG vessels from the US have confirmed NW Europe as a destination for the rest of February while one Qatari vessel is headed for the region, according to Bloomberg ship-tracking. Most Russian arrivals this month are transshipped for delivery elsewhere.
- A total of 38 arrivals are currently scheduled into NW Europe for February with 21 already arrived and with around 68% originating from the US.
- TTF MAR 24 up 2.4% at 26.36€/MWh
- NBP MAR 24 up 2.2% at 64.05p/th
- JKM Mar 24 up 2.3% at 8.59$/mmbtu
- JKM-TTF Mar 24 unchanged at 0.25$/mmbtu
- US Natgas MAR 24 up 0.2% at 1.77$/mmbtu
Source: MNI / Bloomberg
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MNI is the leading provider
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