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NATO: Orban Comments Likely To Raise Disunity Fears

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Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's comments made earlier today in a state media interview (see 'HUNGARY: Orban Seeks To Further Distance Hungary From NATO', 0811BST) are likely to raise concerns within the NATO alliance of the CEE state moving further away from the group's united stance with regards to the war in Ukraine, and even risking a two-tier alliance. 

  • Orban, seen as the most pro-Russian NATO leader, is pushing for opt-outs from the alliance's plans for deepening its support for Kyiv, and said that “Our lawyers and officers are hard at work to see how Hungary can maintain its NATO membership in a way that it wouldn’t have to take part in NATO actions outside of NATO territory,”
  • As part of a EUR100bn plan set to be presented to leaders at the NATO summit in Washington, D.C. 9-11 July, the alliance is seen as considering shifting the coordination role currently held by the US-led Ukraine Defence Contact group (or Ramstein group) to NATO. This would see the alliance handling military deliveries to Kyiv. 
  • Orban is the leading voice against this plan, arguing that it risks Russia declaring NATO as party to the war in Ukraine, which could lead to direct Russia-NATO confrontation. 
  • The opt-outs Orban is seeking - not currently in existence - would see the country become a 'non-participating member'. This would risk a two-tier system, which many would see as a slippery slope towards the Article 5 collective defence clause coming under threat. 
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Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban's comments made earlier today in a state media interview (see 'HUNGARY: Orban Seeks To Further Distance Hungary From NATO', 0811BST) are likely to raise concerns within the NATO alliance of the CEE state moving further away from the group's united stance with regards to the war in Ukraine, and even risking a two-tier alliance. 

  • Orban, seen as the most pro-Russian NATO leader, is pushing for opt-outs from the alliance's plans for deepening its support for Kyiv, and said that “Our lawyers and officers are hard at work to see how Hungary can maintain its NATO membership in a way that it wouldn’t have to take part in NATO actions outside of NATO territory,”
  • As part of a EUR100bn plan set to be presented to leaders at the NATO summit in Washington, D.C. 9-11 July, the alliance is seen as considering shifting the coordination role currently held by the US-led Ukraine Defence Contact group (or Ramstein group) to NATO. This would see the alliance handling military deliveries to Kyiv. 
  • Orban is the leading voice against this plan, arguing that it risks Russia declaring NATO as party to the war in Ukraine, which could lead to direct Russia-NATO confrontation. 
  • The opt-outs Orban is seeking - not currently in existence - would see the country become a 'non-participating member'. This would risk a two-tier system, which many would see as a slippery slope towards the Article 5 collective defence clause coming under threat.