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NBG: EUR Bmk T2 Issue, FV Seen MS+330bp Area

FINANCIALS

NBG (ETE GA) has mandated a EUR benchmark Tier 2 (11.25NC6.25) issue – we see fair value in the MS+330bp area.


  • Tier 2 is a thinner market for pricing new issues. On the graphic, we’ve plotted two lower-rated banks (Monte Paschi and Piraeus, both B1) against Eurobank and NBG (both Ba3).
  • The EUROB 6.25 was issued Jan-24 at EUR300m whereas the ETEGA 8 was Sep-23 but in larger size (EUR500m). The EUROB 10 was issued Dec-22 into a post-COVID world of rising rates and is now pricing around 113, hence its relatively tight spread, we feel.
  • This issue is coming at benchmark size so could well price similarly to that EUROB 6.25, we feel. We see fair value as tight at MS+330bp.

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