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POLAND: NBP's Tyrowicz Says Rate Cut Debate In March Would Be Premature

POLAND
  • NBP's Joanna Tyrowicz told Puls Biznesu that any discussion about cutting interest rates in March would be premature because it would still be before the release of wage data for 1Q2025. She said that technically the earliest moment for such a discussion would be May, after the release of the wage data in late April, but it is not necessarily the time when the debate should start in her opinion. The hawkish policymaker reiterated her view that the NBP kept rates too low in 2022 and then cut them too soon in 2023, which is why the return to monetary easing may take longer.
  • This comes after NBP Governor Adam Glapinski's rhetoric at his latest press conference on Friday turned even more hawkish than before. He said that the discussion on rate cuts should be delayed "for some time," listed a number of factors preventing immediate monetary easing and promised to scrap forward guidance altogether, noting that the central bank has been providing "too much information," which has been misreported "in bad faith."
  • President Andrzej Duda signed the 2025 state budget into law but sent parts of it for review to the Constitutional Tribunal.
  • The Finance Ministry will offer PLN3bn-6bn of 44-week T-bills at an auction today.
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  • NBP's Joanna Tyrowicz told Puls Biznesu that any discussion about cutting interest rates in March would be premature because it would still be before the release of wage data for 1Q2025. She said that technically the earliest moment for such a discussion would be May, after the release of the wage data in late April, but it is not necessarily the time when the debate should start in her opinion. The hawkish policymaker reiterated her view that the NBP kept rates too low in 2022 and then cut them too soon in 2023, which is why the return to monetary easing may take longer.
  • This comes after NBP Governor Adam Glapinski's rhetoric at his latest press conference on Friday turned even more hawkish than before. He said that the discussion on rate cuts should be delayed "for some time," listed a number of factors preventing immediate monetary easing and promised to scrap forward guidance altogether, noting that the central bank has been providing "too much information," which has been misreported "in bad faith."
  • President Andrzej Duda signed the 2025 state budget into law but sent parts of it for review to the Constitutional Tribunal.
  • The Finance Ministry will offer PLN3bn-6bn of 44-week T-bills at an auction today.