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Neste Oyj Equity +3% Today; Top Performing €IG Stock WoW at +12%

ENERGY SECTOR
  • Initial rally came across 04 & 05 April, seemingly after the Dutch Gov’t announced a boost in their annual renewable energy obligations.
  • Low carbon fuel is seen as a LT driver of Neste profitability, offering a significant premium over traditional carbon-intensive fuels. BBG consensus shows Renewable Products expanding from 37% of Neste revenue in 2023 to 45% this year.
  • Spreads have tightened in line with peers since February, having underperformed peers by ~30bps in the wake of Q3 results before seemingly stabilising in the wake of Q4 results which were slightly ahead of consensus on reported results but soft on outlook (credit stabilisation seemingly at odds with the ~15 equity sell-off post results).
  • Q1 results due 25 April.


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