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Netback Still Favour Strong European LNG Imports

LNG

The US LNG netbacks still favour supplies to Europe over Asia with the profitability to Europe for June at 8.5$/mmbtu and Asia at 7.74$/mmbtu according to Bloomberg. The netbacks for the summer are all showing a premium to Europe over Asia. The Europe premium in the next few months is between 0.8 and 1.2$/mmbtu.

  • The front month JKM-TTF spread is today at the higher end of the recent range around -0.2$/mmbtu.
  • LNG net import flows to Europe have dipped slightly this month but remain above the five year range for the time of year. Total Europe sendout was at 431mcm/d on 8 May as healthy supply continues after the high levels seen in April.
  • A total of 27 vessels have already unloaded in NW Europe so far this month with over 75% originating from US. Another 26 are currently scheduled before the end of May. A record 97 cargoes arrived in April beating the previous high of 89 arrivals in December.
    • TTF JUN 23 down -1.9% at 35.28€/MWh
    • NBP JUN 23 down -1.1% at 81.33p/th
    • JKM Jun 23 up 1% at 11.25$/mmbtu
    • JKM-TTF Jun 23 up 0.3$/mmbtu at -0.17$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas JUN 23 down -3.6% at 2.19$/mmbtu


Source: Bloomberg

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