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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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A new poll from Emerson College has found that Democrats are slightly favoured to retake the New York Congressional seat of expelled former Republican George Santos in a special election on February 13.
- Emerson: “45% of voters support Democrat Tom Suozzi, 42% support Republican Mazi Pilip, and 5% plan to vote for someone else. Nine percent are undecided ahead of the February special election…”
- The Hill notes: “How Democrats fare in the Feb. 13 contest could signal how strong the party will be in the fall, when its efforts to flip the lower chamber hinge largely on New York.”
- Reminder, New York saw a mini 'red wave' in 2022 which delivered the GOP a net gain of three seats in the state - One of the strongest Republicans performances at the midterms.
- Any analysis on the special election as a foreshadow of House dynamics in November should be caveated by noting that Santos' numerous scandals elicited particularly strong animosity amongst his electorate. This ill will may be reflected in lukewarm support for Pilip.
Figure 1: New York Third District Special Election
Source: Emerson College
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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