June 10, 2024 12:16 GMT
Next Support In Futures Holds On First Test
GILTS
Little respite for gilts, with continued pressure for European bonds (driven by EU/French politics) still in the driving seat.
- Bears have tested next support in futures (96.26) but failed to meaningfully break below (low of 96.25 seen so far). The contract last trades at 96.37, -49.
- Cash gilt yields are 2.5-5.0bp higher, with the curve steepening alongside global peers.
- 2s10s moves back towards ’24 steeps, while 5s30s sticks comfortably within the recent range.
- Gilts are wider vs. U.S. Tsys across the curve but outperform OATs.
- SONIA futures trade off session lows, last flat to -6.0.
- GBP800mn of short-dated gilt sales from the BoE’s APF are due this afternoon. This could have some short-term impact, but shouldn’t be a major theme setter for gilts, especially with the monthly labour market report due tomorrow.
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