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NFP Miss: Stim Prospects Underpins Rates & Equities, USD Wanes

US TSYS SUMMARY
Large May employment gain of +559k jobs for May was still well below expectation of +680k (+800k whisper) spurred choppy two-way trade immediately after the release. Took a few minutes before a rally in rates gained momentum followed by equities soon after amid prospects of further stimulus.
  • Eminis climbed to within $10.0 of May 9 all-time high of 4236.25 to session high of 4229.25. After making strong gains in the prior session, USD slid on the headline jobs miss, the unexpected tick lower in the labor force participation adding some weight, which slipped to 61.6% vs. Exp 61.8%.
  • With decent action and one-way bearish option put buying early -- trade evaporated by noon. Rates drifting near session highs through the second half. TYU breached near-term resistance of 132-05.5 earlier to 132-07 high but have receded back to -05.5 to -06.
  • Fed enters blackout at midnight tonight through June 17.
  • The 2-Yr yield is down 0.6bps at 0.1487%, 5-Yr is down 5.6bps at 0.7836%, 10-Yr is down 6.5bps at 1.5602%, and 30-Yr is down 5.8bps at 2.2384%.

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