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Nippon Life: To Buy More Unhedged Foreign Bonds in 2H FY17
--Nippon Life: To Restrict JGB Investment Due To Low Yields
--Nippon Life: But To Buy 20-, 30-Yr JGB If Yield Rises To 1%
--Nippon Life: To Lower Balance of Hedged Foreign Bond Holdings
TOKYO (MNI) - The Nippon Life Insurance will raise its holdings of unhedged
foreign bonds in the second half of this fiscal year to March 31, 2018, after
increasing its balance of these instruments by Y230 billion during the first
half of fiscal 2017, the company's chief fund manager said Tuesday.
The company may reduce the balance of its hedged foreign bond holdings due
to higher hedging costs after increasing the balance of its holdings of those
securities -- including corporate bonds -- by Y510 billion for the April-March
period, Naoki Akiyama, general manager of the finance and investment planning
department told reporters.
Hedging costs are expected to continue rising in the U.S. in line with
further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Akiyama added that the company expects new assets from insurance premiums
to rise Y840 billion in the second half of fiscal 2017, with the pace of
increase unchanged from the first half.
Japan's largest insurer by assets will consider increasing either unhedged
or hedged foreign bonds "in a flexible manner," depending on developments in
foreign exchange and interest rates.
It will continue restricting its investment in Japanese government bonds
and other domestic bonds due to continued low returns.
The company plans to increase its holdings of both domestic and overseas
stocks with an eye toward building a portfolio that can bring in higher
longer-term gains.
During the first half of the current fiscal year to Sept. 30, the company
increased the balance of foreign stock holdings by Y90 billion to Y2.92
trillion, or 5% of its total assets.
At the end of September, the balance of domestic stocks held by Nippon Life
totaled Y9.22 trillion, or 14.0% of its total assets, after rising by Y80
billion in the April-September period.
Nippon Life will roughly maintain the balance of domestic bond holdings for
the October-March period amid low yields, after reducing the balance by Y40
billon in the first half.
"Domestic interest rates are expected to stay at low levels. We will
continue restricting our investment in domestic bonds," Akiyama said.
However, the company stands ready to consider increasing the balance of its
domestic bond holdings in a flexible manner, depending on bond yields.
The company would consider buying more 20- and 30-year bonds if their
yields rose to 1%, Akiyama said. The 20-year Japanese government bond yield
traded at 0.600% Tuesday.
The 10-year JGB yield traded at 0.070% Tuesday, after rising to 0.080% on
Oct. 17 for the highest level since July 26 and falling to -0.01% on Sept. 8 for
the lowest level since Nov. 15, 2016.
At the end of September, Nippon Life decreased the balance of its domestic
bond holdings by Y40 billion to Y26.60 trillion, or 41% of its total assets.
Nippon Life has traditionally invested about 70% of its total assets in
lower-risk instruments -- mainly yen-denominated securities and hedged foreign
bonds -- and about 30% in higher-risk assets such as domestic stocks, unhedged
foreign currency assets and real estate.
Akiyama projected that the 10-year JGB yield would move between -0.2% and
0.2% this fiscal year and stand at around zero at the end of March 2018.
He expects the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield to move between 2% and 3%
and to be at around 2.5% at the end of March 2018.
He forecast the dollar would trade between Y100 and Y120 and the euro would
fluctuate between Y110 and Y140 in the October-March period.
At the end of September, the balance of hedged foreign bonds held by Nippon
Life stood at Y10.42 trillion, or 16% of its total assets, and the balance of
unhedged foreign bonds at Y4.57 trillion, or 7% of the total.
The total assets held by Nippon Life at the end of September is estimated
at Y64.44 trillion, up from Y63.60 trillion at the end of March 2017.
NLI Research Institute of the Nippon Life group expects Japan's GDP will
expand 1.6% this fiscal year and 1.1% in fiscal 2018.
NLI forecast U.S. GDP growth of 2.1% this calendar year and 2.6% in 2018.
It expects the Eurozone economy to grow 2.2% in calendar 2017 and 1.8% in 2018.
Unrealized profits from securities held by Nippon Life at the end of
September are estimated at Y10.76 trillion, up from Y10.07 trillion at the end
of March.
Unrealized profits from domestic stocks held by the firm rose to Y4.62
trillion at the end of September from Y4.29 trillion at the end of March, thanks
to a rise in the Nikkei 225 stock index.
Unrealized profits from holding domestic bonds at the end of March fell to
Y3.79 trillion from Y3.83 trillion at the end of March as the company decreased
its holdings of domestic bonds.
Unrealized profits from foreign bonds fell to Y1.32 trillion at the end of
September from Y1.09 trillion at the end of March.
Overall the level of unrealized profits at Nippon Life is high, and thus
work as a buffer against any losses from investing in riskier assets.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.