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No Fleet Constraints Expected Despite Urals Price Above Cap: Vortexa

OIL

Lower Russian crude exports mean constraints on the fleet trading Russian crude look unlikely despite the Urals price increase according to Votexa.

  • The Urals price surpassed the $60/bbl price cap for the first time last month according to Argus, highlighting the role of Greek tanker operators, who control well over one-third of tankers which have lifted Russian crude post-ban.
  • Russian crude volumes (excl. Russia Far East) lifted by Greek operators in July decreased by around 482 kbd m-o-m to around 35% of all cargoes compared to around 45% of June cargoes when Urals was still under the cap.
  • Reduced tanker demand partially drove the Greek operators away with Russian crude exports from the Baltic and Black Sea down by 24% m-o-m in July. Also, Chinese buyers turned away due to the higher prices while Russia is prioritising higher value products.
  • It remains to be seen whether a similar shift will be seen away from Russian clean products with pricing now also above caps.


Source: Vortexa

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