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Free AccessNordea suggest that EUR/NOK's upside.......>
EURO-NOK: Nordea suggest that EUR/NOK's upside break of NOK9.62 "may lead to a
rapid move towards NOK9.80. We are long EUR/NOK into year-end and close our long
NOK/SEK. A plummeting oil price and weakening consumption growth suddenly speaks
in favour of a downwards revision of the rate path by Norges Bank in December.
Just a month ago several factors argued in favour of a hawkish December path.
Usually the structural liquidity tide turns right about now, meaning that the
Norwegian commercial banking system will be flooded with cheap NOK liquidity
over year-turn. This is an underappreciated driver of the sluggish December NOK
seasonality. The housing market is another renewed concern for the NOK."
- Nordea's long EUR/NOK position targets "at least a move to NOK9.80 before
year-end but don't rule out a move of >5% over the next 1-1.5 months."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.