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LNG: Norwegian Outage Highlights Risks To European Supplies

LNG

European natural gas prices continued to climb on Thursday rising another 1.7% to EUR 49.73 to be up 3.6% this week. It started trading reaching a high of EUR 51.00 before falling to a low of EUR 48.55. An unplanned outage in Norway boosted prices, while the expiry of a deal to allow Russian gas to transit through Ukraine on January 1 at a time of colder weather has also driven them higher. 

  • The Hammerfest LNG facility in Norway has stopped activity until January 9, which will add to European supply pressures. Bloomberg notes that storage drawdowns in the region are currently at their fastest pace since 2021. But the EU remains unconcerned about the end to Russian flows through Ukraine as it has had a year to prepare. Only the pipeline through Turkey to Hungary is now in operation.
  • The market will watch European storage refilling over the spring and summer and is likely to face increased sensitivity to global supply outages as it relies more heavily on LNG imports. LNG shipments from Russia were at a record high in 2024, according to Bloomberg. But LNG is less practical for landlocked central European countries.
  • Austria’s dispute with Gazprom in 2024 has seen the central European country source more gas through Germany and Italy, according to Austria Gas Grid Management.
  • US natural gas rose 0.5% to $3.66 after an intraday high of $3.80. Forecasts for a cold snap have driven a price rise of over 8% this week. Increased heating demand as well as risks from freezing to Appalachian output are likely to drive inventory drawdowns. 
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European natural gas prices continued to climb on Thursday rising another 1.7% to EUR 49.73 to be up 3.6% this week. It started trading reaching a high of EUR 51.00 before falling to a low of EUR 48.55. An unplanned outage in Norway boosted prices, while the expiry of a deal to allow Russian gas to transit through Ukraine on January 1 at a time of colder weather has also driven them higher. 

  • The Hammerfest LNG facility in Norway has stopped activity until January 9, which will add to European supply pressures. Bloomberg notes that storage drawdowns in the region are currently at their fastest pace since 2021. But the EU remains unconcerned about the end to Russian flows through Ukraine as it has had a year to prepare. Only the pipeline through Turkey to Hungary is now in operation.
  • The market will watch European storage refilling over the spring and summer and is likely to face increased sensitivity to global supply outages as it relies more heavily on LNG imports. LNG shipments from Russia were at a record high in 2024, according to Bloomberg. But LNG is less practical for landlocked central European countries.
  • Austria’s dispute with Gazprom in 2024 has seen the central European country source more gas through Germany and Italy, according to Austria Gas Grid Management.
  • US natural gas rose 0.5% to $3.66 after an intraday high of $3.80. Forecasts for a cold snap have driven a price rise of over 8% this week. Increased heating demand as well as risks from freezing to Appalachian output are likely to drive inventory drawdowns.