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NZD/USD also came under pressure in early......>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/USD also came under pressure in early dealing this week, on the back
of weekend headlines from the WSJ noting that China has cancelled the planned
trade talks with the U.S. amid escalation of tariff threats. Much like the AUD,
NZD drew some support from the latest round of headlines from the Chinese white
paper on U.S. trade relations, but that quickly faded, and was very limited in
nature as the bulk of the paper was less conciliatory than the headlines.
- NZD/USD last ~$0.6670. Bulls look to $0.6700 which capped the pair on Friday,
followed by the 30 Aug high ($0.6717), initial support is noted at $0.6650.
- Thursday's RBNZ MonPol decision headlines the local docket this week. The fact
that NZ growth in Q2 provided a comprehensive beat vs. the Reserve Bank's Q2
estimate (0.5% Q/Q) is allowing some to suggest that the Bank has room to alter
its rhetoric, which has taken a dovish twist since Gov. Orr took the reins,
although most expect the RBNZ to reiterate that the next move in the OCR could
be up or down. As a reminder all of those surveyed expect the OCR to be left
unchanged this week. Market now prices ~7bp worth of easing through the end of
June 2018 vs. ~10bp pre-GDP.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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