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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
NZD/USD Falls After Stronger US CPI, FinMin Spoke On Budget Deficit
The Kiwi crept higher post RBNZ decision, making a high of 0.6083 before higher than expected CPI inflation data caused the USD to turn bid. NZ FinMin spoke earlier on the Deficit. The NZD was one of the worst performing G10 currencies down 1.37%, beaten by NOK, SEK & AUD while the BBDXY made new YtD highs of 1251.81 before finishing the session up 0.75% to 1,250.13.
- The NZD/USD fell sharply on as US CPI was released from 0.6083 to a intraday low of 0.5966 erasing the last weeks gains, the pair now targets the April 1 and YtD lows of 0.5940.
- Key levels to watch: Initial support is at 0.6040 (Apr 1 & YtD lows) below here then 0.5900 (round number support). Initial resistant lays at 0.6100 (round number resistance) a break here would open a move to 0.6025 (20-day EMA).
- The US-NZ 2y is now at multi-year highs of -8.5bps
- Earlier, New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis outlined a strategy to address the government's structural deficit gradually over several years, aiming to reduce debt to 40% of GDP while focusing on sustainable spending and promising meaningful tax reductions within a new operating allowance to avoid inflationary pressures, while also emphasizing support for the Reserve Bank's efforts to stabilize inflation.
- Option expiries: Apr 10 NY Cut 0.5850 (NZD625m), upcoming notable strikes included 0.5955 (NZD1.22b April 11), 0.5750 (NZD610m April 12), 0.6050 (NZD550.4m April 12)
- Looking ahead: Today NZGBs Auctions, while Friday we have BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.