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Free AccessNZGBS: Cheaper, US Tsys Pressured By Supply & Stronger Than Expected PMIs
In local morning trade, NZGBs are 2bps cheaper after US tsy yields pushed 4-5bps higher across benchmarks ahead of Thursday's busy US calendar: GDP, PCE, Weekly Jobless Claims and Tsy Sec Yellen’s Outlook. US tsys were pressured by the combination of stronger-than-expected PMI data, an ugly 5-year auction and a heavy corporate supply calendar.
- S&P Global US PMIs for January: Mfg PMI (50.3 vs. 47.6 est, 47.9 prior); Services PMI (52.9 vs. 51.5 est, 51.4 prior); Composite PMI (52.3 vs. 51.0 est, 50.9 prior).
- Risk on sentiment also weighed, with the S&P 500 hitting a record high of 4903.68 before paring some of its advance. The NASDAQ advanced over 1% intraday, before finishing up 0.4%.
- Swap rates are 4bps higher.
- RBNZ dated OIS pricing is little changed. A cumulative 87bps of easing is priced by year-end compared to 92bps before yesterday’s Q4 CPI data release.
- NZ Treasury published financial statements for five months ended Nov. 30. The Operating Deficit before gains/losses was NZ$2.8bn, NZ$1.15b narrower than the NZ$3.94b gap projected in the half-year fiscal update. Net Debt was 20.9% of GDP vs 21.4% projection.
- Today, the NZ Treasury plans to sell NZ$250mn of the Apr-27 bond, NZ$175mn of the May-34 bond and NZ$75mn of the Apr-37 bond.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.