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NZGBS: Curve Bear Flattens, RBNZ Decision Digested

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Cash NZGB 2/10 curve flattens 17bp with the 2-year benchmark yield 18bp higher after RBNZ surprised the market with a 50bp rate hike. The 10-year benchmark yield spiked 12bp higher on the decision but recouped most of those losses to be 1bp softer post-RBNZ decision.

  • The 2s10s swap curve is 15bp flatter after the RBNZ decision at -94bp, a low for this cycle and the most inverted since 2008.
  • The 2/10 cash curve is -68bp, the flattest since 2009.

Figure 1: NZ 2s10s Swap Curve



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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