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Free AccessNZGBS: Richer After CPI Miss
In local morning trade, NZGBs are 2-3bps richer after Q3 CPI printed on the downside of expectations at +1.8% q/q and +5.6% y/y versus estimates of +1.9% and +5.9% and prior +1.1% and +6.0%.
- Tradable and non-tradeable inflation also printed on the downside of expectations at +1.7% q/q and +1.8% q/q respectively versus estimates of +1.8% and +2.4% and prior +1.3% and +0.8%.
- At the time of writing, the 2/10 NZGB curve had twist-steepened, with yields 2bps lower to 1bps higher.
- NZ-US and NZ-AU 10-year yield differentials are 3-4bps tighter on the.
- Going into the release NZGBs had been 1-4bps cheaper after global markets adopted a risk-on tone to start the week after heading into the weekend on a cautious note. US tsys had finished the NY session with yields 5-11bps higher.
- Swap rates are 3-7bps richer after the data and are 3bps lower to 2bps higher on the day. The 2s10s curve is steeper.
- RBNZ dated OIS pricing has shunted 4-9bps softer, with terminal OCR expectations 7bps lower at 5.65%.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.