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... OAT / BTP At Opposite Ends Of Positioning Spectrum; Gilt Short (2/2)

BONDS

French and Italian contracts sit in almost polar opposite structural positioning territory per our latest Europe Pi update.

  • OAT: OAT has drifted continually away from structural longs seen in mid-May to increasingly pronounced shorts - and is very short currently. Further shorts were set last week.
  • BTP: BTP structural positioning remains in long territory, which has become the new norm since mid-Aug after mostly flat/short in 1H 2023. Some shorts were set last week.
  • GILT: Gilts have flipped more quickly than OAT from structural longs (in early Aug) to shorts, which were reached in early Sept. Activity was indicative of long reduction last week.

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