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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessOctober Inflation Data, Banxico Decision In Focus
- October CPI data will be released tomorrow where the annual headline rate is expected to increase from 6.00% in Sep. and 6.12% in the latest Bi-weekly print to 6.19%.
- The data will be the last piece of information before the November Banxico decision where currently the majority of analysts believe the board will vote for a 25bps hike of the key rate to 5.00%.
- Interestingly, these forecasts are not unanimous. Currently 4 of 20 calling more a bolder 50bps hike to 5.25%, with Barclays and UBS among the minority.
- Out late Friday, the latest Citibanamex survey saw Mexican analysts raise their 2021 year-end CPI estimate to 6.70% versus a prior reading of 6.50%. Despite this increase, there was a minor downtick in 2021 GDP projections and the survey still sees a 25bp hike as the outcome of Thursday's meeting.
- The full MNI preview with analyst views will be published tomorrow afternoon.
- Released earlier today: Mexico Gross Fixed Investment Rose 13.9% Y/y in August; Est. 11.7%, prior 15.7%.
- Industrial Production data for September is also scheduled for Thursday with Formal Job Creation figures on the docket for Friday.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.