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Off Lows On Domestic PMIs

GILTS

Gilts and SONIA futures move off lows in the wake of the domestic PMI data.

  • The survey saw less focus on cost passthrough, but that was due to a slowdown in input cost inflation. There was a continued reduction in increases in services prices as a result, although goods producers saw their highest output prices in a year.
  • Those services price snippets and the softer-than-expected services PMI reading drive post-market reaction.
  • Gilt futures last -18 at 96.81 (lows of 96.58).
  • Cash gilt yields are 1-3bp higher vs. yesterday’s closing levels, still bear flattening on the day.
  • SONIA futures are 0.25 to 3.0bp lower on the day.
  • Less than 2bp of easing is priced into BoE-dated OIS through the June MPC meeting, with ~34.5bp showing through year end.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Jun-245.188-1.2
Aug-245.104-9.6
Sep-245.037-16.3
Nov-244.933-26.7
Dec-244.856-34.4
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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