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OFZs Sell-Off Sharply in First Session of 2022, Markets Lean Towards Hawkish Feb CBR

RUSSIA
  • Local & USD rates trade mixed around the open, having sold off sharply yesterday.
  • OFZs played catch-up after an extended closure period, bear flattening +22-29bp in 2-5Y yields as yields priced out the more positive CPI developments in late December, while the rest of the curve rose +8-17bp.
  • 10Y yields are teetering just below the Nov-Dec highs at 8.66 with key support at 8.44 & the bear trigger at 8.37.
  • Forward rates rose sharply yesterday from +68bp to +87bp in the 3x6FRA-Mospirme spread – suggesting more hawkish expectations for Feb’s CBR meeting.
  • 3x6 FRA-Mosprime spread


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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