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Free AccessOI Points To Long Setting In SOFR Greens On Thursday
The combination of yesterday’s uptick in SOFR futures and preliminary OI data points to a mix of net long setting and short cover through the blues.
- Those forces largely offset when it came to net pack OI movement in the whites & reds.
- The greens saw net long setting in all 4 contracts, providing the most meaningful net OI change in pack terms.
- The blues also saw a slightly more pronounced bias towards long setting than both the whites and reds.
- The dovish BoE outcome and weekly jobless claims data factored into the SOFR uptick.
- Those looking for cross-market monetary policy divergence plays may be emboldened by the prospect of a seemingly imminent ECB cut, as well as the BoE’s insistence that the inflation picture is different in the UK than it is in Europe.
- The latter has opened up the potential for a swifter round of UK rate cuts than markets currently discount.
09-May-24 | 08-May-24 | Daily OI Change | Daily OI Change In Packs | ||
SFRH4 | 912,366 | 911,794 | +572 | Whites | +2,213 |
SFRM4 | 1,081,946 | 1,087,561 | -5,615 | Reds | -2,313 |
SFRU4 | 1,087,662 | 1,080,962 | +6,700 | Greens | +16,858 |
SFRZ4 | 1,205,563 | 1,205,007 | +556 | Blues | +5,368 |
SFRH5 | 781,507 | 788,029 | -6,522 | ||
SFRM5 | 802,935 | 801,736 | +1,199 | ||
SFRU5 | 711,632 | 711,736 | -104 | ||
SFRZ5 | 845,255 | 842,141 | +3,114 | ||
SFRH6 | 507,616 | 505,952 | +1,664 | ||
SFRM6 | 537,151 | 530,832 | +6,319 | ||
SFRU6 | 413,041 | 405,697 | +7,344 | ||
SFRZ6 | 364,205 | 362,674 | +1,531 | ||
SFRH7 | 245,764 | 247,244 | -1,480 | ||
SFRM7 | 182,138 | 180,456 | +1,682 | ||
SFRU7 | 174,219 | 172,527 | +1,692 | ||
SFRZ7 | 145,407 | 141,933 | +3,474 |
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.