September 24, 2024 03:42 GMT
OIL: Crude Jumps On Hopes China Stimulus Will Boost Demand
OIL
Oil prices have jumped after the PBoC announced numerous measures to stimulate China’s economy. WTI is up 1% to $71.08/bbl, close to the intraday high, after a low of $70.44 before the news. Brent rose 0.9% to $74.55/bbl after a low of $73.95. The market also remains nervous regarding an escalation the situation between Israel and Hezbollah, which is likely to be discussed by the UN today. The USD index is little changed.
- The PBoC announced a 20bp cut in the 7-day repo to 1.5% and 25bp for mortgage rates, as well as a 25bp reduction in the RRR with possibly another 25-50bp before year end depending on conditions. There are also measures to support China’s equity market and stabilise bonds. There has been concern it wouldn’t meet its 5% growth target, which had spooked crude.
- China will continue to be monitored closely, but now for signs that the monetary stimulus is having an effect on demand.
- Israel attacked Hezbollah targets in Lebanon on Monday, while Iran said that it is prepared to intervene to de-escalate the worsening situation as long as Israel does too.
- US industry-based inventory data is published today. There have been significant stock drawdowns recently but also signs that product demand is easing.
- Later the Fed’s Bowman speaks and US July housing data, September consumer confidence, Philly & Richmond Fed indices print. There’s also September German Ifo.
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