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Oil Prices Nudge Higher But Gold Clears Bear Trigger

COMMODITIES
  • Oil prices are modestly higher on the day as Germany is ready to back an EU ban on Russian oil if it’s gradual.
  • TTF gas prices increased a further 4% following Russia’s decision to halt gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria. The EU has warned companies not to meet demands to pay for gas in rubles but Italy’s ENI prepares to open accounts regardless (adding to earlier stories that four European gas buyers have already paid in rubles and ten have opened gazprom accounts).
  • France will hold a meeting of EU energy ministers in May to discuss how to deal with Russia’s decision to halt gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria.
  • WTI is +0.5% at $102.2 with an almost parallel shift across the curve 1y out.
  • It’s at the top end of yesterday’s range and not troubling technical ranges with resistance at $105.42 (Apr 21 high) and support at $95.28 (Apr 25 low).
  • Brent is +0.5% at $105.6, with resistance at $109.8 (Apr 21 high) and support at $99.48 (Apr 25 low).
  • Gold is -1.0% at $1887.2 as further USD strength sees a resumption of gold weakness after pausing yesterday. It clears the bear trigger of $1890.2, a clear break opening support at the $1878.4 Feb 24 low from the first day of the war in Ukraine.

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