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On tap for Thursday: February.......>

US DATA PREVIEW
US DATA PREVIEW: On tap for Thursday: February Challenger layoff plans; weekly
claims (225k est); Q4 non-farm productivity (f) (1.7%) and unit labor costs
(1.7%); January consumer credit ($16.8B).
- Morgan Stanley economists "estimate that productivity grew at a 1.0%Q
annualized rate in the fourth quarter. For unit labor costs, we forecast growth
of 2.3% Q/Q annualized in the fourth quarter after a 1.2% gain in 3Q."
- Nomura economists note the "initial reading of Q4 productivity growth did not
include non-manufacturing productivity data due to missing components for
aggregate output. However, the initial report did include aggregate hours
growth, which increased 1.6% q-o-q saar. With the release of data from BEA on
real GDP during the quarter, increasing 2.6% q-o-q saar, the final estimate for
Q4 productivity may come in close to or slightly above 1.0% q-o-q saar, down
from the recent two quarters of 3.0% and 2.2% in Q2 and Q3, respectively."

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