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On Tuesday UBS recommended ACGB........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: On Tuesday UBS recommended ACGB 3s10s flatteners, based on Dec21s
and April27s, with an entry level of 44bp, targeting 25bp & a stop at 60bp.
- UBS think that "the recent global bond market tumult on the back of concerns
over Italian fiscal sustainability is likely to wane allowing policy gradual
normalisation to continue. In this context, we review the factors affecting the
Australian rates market: global growth, the domestic outlook and current RBA
pricing. In short, the market prices RBA policy below already subdued consensus
expectations, translating into a relatively steep Australian yield curve
relative to foreign counterparts. We recommend 3s10s curve flatteners in
Australia on the view that a recovery in global growth from the soft patch in Q1
can push up rates at the front end of the Australian curve, but the relative
attractiveness of the long end of the Australian curve will likely keep 10-Year
yields relatively anchored. In particular, Australian bonds are attractive to
Japanese investors on a currency hedged basis. We think the 3s10s curve can
flatten another 30-40bp."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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