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Free AccessOn Wednesday, Germany........>
GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: On Wednesday, Germany sells E3bln of the 10Y bmk, 0.5%
Feb-28
- BACKGROUND: This is just the fourth outing for this particular security and
will not be issued again until 18 April. There are no large coupon or redemption
payments in the core until mid-April. Bidding was reasonable at the Schatz
auction earlier today.
- RV/HISTORY: The yield curve has lower yields (currently 0.58% compared to
0.67% last time) and is flatter than it was when this bond was last sold. Of the
past five 10Y Bund auctions four have failed to attract bids in excess of the
amount available for sale. On Tuesday, the 10Y section of the curve
underperformed both 5Y and 15Y areas - concession building into the auction. The
natural hedge for this auction is the Bund future and the spread to the CTD into
the Jun-18 contract (Bund 0.25% Feb-27) doesn't look too bad compared to history
at 11.8bp. As with all German bonds the Feb-28 has become expensive to swaps in
the past 2-3 months and the ASW is close to lows.
- RESULTS: Auction results are due shortly after bidding close at 1030GMT.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.