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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. Should the public's feeling remain largely downbeat on the outlook for the economy for a sustained period of time, it will almost certainly begin to feed into the political narrative as potential GOP presidential, Senate and House candidates begin to launch/ramp-up their campaigns ahead of 2024.
- Economist/YouGov (2/25-28) findings on Americans' economic outlook (Full tables: https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/ctq2ajcu3n/econTabRepo...). Six months from now do you think there will be....?
- A higher rate of inflation: 44%, The same rate of inflation: 26%, A lower rate of inflation: 17%
- Higher gas prices: 50%, The same gas prices: 25%, Lower gas prices: 11%
- Fewer jobs: 27%, The same amount of jobs: 43%, More jobs: 16%
- Higher interest rates: 56%, The same interest rates: 22%, Lower interest rates: 5%
- The polling also takes into account respondents views on various foreign policy issues. With regards to the US' allies vs enemies, there remains a stark partisan divide. Those who backed President Joe Biden in 2020 are more likely to view Ukraine as an 'ally' compared to supporters of Donald Trump (53% to 19%). Meanwhile, Trump voters viewed China as an 'enemy' by a much wider margin compared to those opting for Biden (28% to 63%).
Chart 1. Do you consider the following place to be an ally or an enemy of the United States?, %
Source: YouGov, February 25 - 28, 2023 - 1500 U.S. Adult Citizens
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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