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PLN: Opposition to Germany Debt Package Pushes EUR/PLN Back Towards 4.20

PLN

The brief drop in EUR/USD on the back of headlines that Germany’s Greens wont support the draft debt package plan in parliament has pressured the Polish zloty, with EUR/PLN 0.35% higher on the session and near last week’s best levels. Poland was among the main beneficiaries when the spending plans were initially proposed last week given its sensitivity to Germany’s growth prospects.

  • The move from the greens is somewhat unexpected - they're one of the key coalition parties needed alongside the CDU and SPD to get the draft package through parliament - but important to note that it's not an unconditional rejection of the package, potentially accounting for the relatively contained single currency weakness.
  • Still, the zloty has not recovered as well as the euro. For EURPLN, resistance to watch is at 4.2014, the 50-day EMA, a break of which would highlight a possible reversal of the downtrend and expose 4.2379, the Feb 4 high.
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The brief drop in EUR/USD on the back of headlines that Germany’s Greens wont support the draft debt package plan in parliament has pressured the Polish zloty, with EUR/PLN 0.35% higher on the session and near last week’s best levels. Poland was among the main beneficiaries when the spending plans were initially proposed last week given its sensitivity to Germany’s growth prospects.

  • The move from the greens is somewhat unexpected - they're one of the key coalition parties needed alongside the CDU and SPD to get the draft package through parliament - but important to note that it's not an unconditional rejection of the package, potentially accounting for the relatively contained single currency weakness.
  • Still, the zloty has not recovered as well as the euro. For EURPLN, resistance to watch is at 4.2014, the 50-day EMA, a break of which would highlight a possible reversal of the downtrend and expose 4.2379, the Feb 4 high.