Free Trial

"Outlier" Survey Show Trump With Large Lead Over Biden In 2024 Matchup

US

A widely shared new surveyfrom ABC and the Washington Post has found that former President Donald Trump leads President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup 51-42% - a huge margin which has not been reflected in other national surveys.

  • WaPo/ABC: “Joe Biden’s job approval rating is 19 points underwater, his ratings for handling the economy and immigration are at career lows, a record number of Americans say they’ve gotten worse off under his presidency, three-quarters say he’s too old for another term and Donald Trump is looking better in retrospect – all severe challenges for Biden in his re-election campaign ahead.”
  • The writers of the survey note that the results appear to be an outlier, cautioning that the margin between Trump and Biden may be due to “message sending” from Democrats unhappy with the prospect of a second Biden term, "...wherever they end up in more than a year, a substantial number of Americans today are taking the opportunity to express their displeasure.”

Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election

Source: ABC/Washington Post

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.