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Overnight Implied Volatility Elevated Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

NZD

NZD/USD overnight implied volatility sits at 17.3650% as option markets price in a $0.6095-$0.6225 range in the aftermath of today's RBNZ meeting.

  • Implied volatility sits a touch below levels seen before May's RBNZ meeting and well within the yearly range.
  • Overnight risk reversals are skewed to the downside, however the skew is only marginally and briefly turned positive last week.
  • Bulls look to target a break of the $0.62 handle which opens the 200-Day EMA ($0.6233). On the downside bears immediate focus is on the 20-Day EMA ($0.6126).
  • The MNI preview of the FOMC meeting is here.

Fig 1: NZD/USD Overnight Implied Volatility

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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