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Latest opinion polling from Panelbase shows the separatist Scottish National Party (SNP) of First Minister Nicola Sturgeon on support that would leave then five seats short of a majority if reflected in the upcoming 6 May election.

  • Holyrood Voting Intention:
    • Constituency: SNP: 45% (-2), Labour: 22% (+2), Conservative: 20% (-3), Liberal Democrat: 8% (+2), Green: 4% (=). Via @PanelbaseMD, 21-26 Apr. Changes w/ 9-12 Apr.
    • List: SNP: 36% (=), CON: 21% (-1), LAB: 18% (+1), GRN: 10% (+1), LDM: 6% (=), ALBA: 6% (=), AFU: 2% (=), Via @PanelbaseMD, 21-26 Apr. Changes w/ 9-12 Apr.
  • The constituency vote share of 45% is the SNP's lowest level of support since December 2019.
  • While the SNP would be five seats short of a majority, the separatist Alba party, led by former FM and SNP head Alex Salmond would win six seats, providing an overall majority for pro-independence parties (boosted further by the Scottish Greens).