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Free AccessParallel Cheapening Shift Along NZGB Curve
A cheaper bias across the core global fixed income space on Tuesday has shifted NZ yields higher in early Wednesday trade, although the move on NZGBs has been a little more limited than what was seen in the likes of U.S. Tsys, EGBs and Gilts.
- Yields are 5-6bp higher across the curve in what has been a relatively parallel shift.
- Participants continue to assess the terminal rate of the RBNZ’s hiking cycle, with RBNZ dated OIS now indicating a 4.50% peak on spill over from the recent rounds of repricing re: market expectations of the Fed’s terminal rate and ANZ upping their terminal rate call to 4.75% in the second half of last week (the most hawkish call we have seen).
- The above factors have maintained a flattening bias on the NZ yield curve in recent days.
- A reminder that the RBNZ’s terminal rate expectations currently sit at 4.10%, based on its Aug OCR track.
- Credit card spending data headlines the domestic docket on Wednesday, with the NZ economy already viewed as being fairly late cycle in nature.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.