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Penn Wharton Budget Model Estimates Increased US Debt From Biden's BBB

US
  • Earlier today, the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM) released estimates that as written the White House's Build Back Better reconciliation framework would increase spending by $1.87 trillion over the 10-year budget window while increasing revenues by $1.56 trillion over the same period.
  • PWBM projects the reconciliation package will increase federal debt by 2.0% and decrease GDP by 0.1% in 2050, relative to the current law baseline.
  • Under an alternative, illustrative scenario in which all spending provisions in the White House framework are permanent except the clean energy tax credits, new spending would instead increase by $4.26 trillion and new revenue would still increase by $1.56 trillion over the 10-year budget window. The federal debt would be 25.2 percent higher and GDP 2.8 percent lower in 2050, relative to current law.

MNI Washington Bureau | +1 202-371-2121 | evan.ryser@marketnews.com
MNI Washington Bureau | +1 202-371-2121 | evan.ryser@marketnews.com

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