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Peso Extending Intra-Day Recovery

MEXICO
  • Early pressure on the Mexican peso on Friday is subsiding as the latest move higher in core rates and a bounce for major equity indices are providing a more solid backdrop and have negated the need
  • For USDMXN, 18.80 has capped the topside today with the much firmer than expected January economic activity data aiding the latest peso recovery that has seen USDMXN trade back close to unchanged on the session. The next support to watch lies at 18.2397, the Mar 13 low. A break of this level would undermine the recent bullish theme and instead expose support at 17.8981, the Mar 9 low and a key short-term support.
  • Additionally, MXNJPY has completed a near 2% recovery from the lows to trade back above 7.00 after significant downward pressure throughout the overnight session.
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s claims that parts of Mexico are under control are false, Mexico’s President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said in a press briefing Friday.
  • Trade Data next week precedes the central bank decision on Thursday where analysts are currently forecasting Banxico to hike by 25bps. This would be in line with prior rhetoric of downshifting the pace of tightening and also concur with hawkish remarks this week from both Deputy Govenors Heath and Espinosa.

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