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Peso Loses Shine, Covid Worry Lingers

PHP

Spot USD/PHP trades +0.110 at PHP51.065, clawing back some of yesterday's surprising gains, as the local Covid-19 situation inspires reassessment of the Philippines' recovery outlook. Bulls look for a clean break above yesterday's high of PHP51.300, a multi-month peak. Conversely, bears keep an eye on yesterday's low of PHP50.900, followed by the 50-/100-DMAs at PHP50.415/50.401.

  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last seen +0.060 at PHP51.490. Bulls look to a clearance of Jan 4 cycle high of PHP52.140, while bears seek a retreat under Dec 31 low of PHP51.090.
  • BSP Gov Diokno denied that the central bank intervened to shore up the peso Wednesday. The Governor was answering a question on peso appreciation, which occurred despite a notable miss in the latest reading of CPI inflation.
  • The upsurge in the Philippines' daily Covid-19 case count provides a source of concern. The national Covid-19 task force announced that Laguna will move to Alert Level 3 from Jan 7 to 15 "due to the rising number of Covid-19 cases."
  • Participants look to the release of monthly labour market data out of the Philippines this Friday.

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