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Philippine Unemployment Rises, Sinopharm Jab Gets Approved

PHP

An uptick in nationwide unemployment failed to elicit any volatility in spot USD/PHP, which last trades (virtually) flat at PHP47.665. A break below PHP47.615, the trough of Jun 1, is needed to bring Feb 15 cycle low of PHP47.441 into view. On the topside, initial focus falls on Jun 4 high of PHP47.882.

  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last +0.020 at PHP47.780, with bears looking for a dip through PHP47.670, a fresh cycle low printed yesterday. Bulls keep an eye on Jun 2 high of PHP47.980.
  • Headline unemployment rate rose to 8.7% in April from 7.1% recorded in the prior month, while underemployment increased to 17.2% from 16.2%, which occurred alongside a fall in the participation rate to 63.2% from 65.0%. There were just two regions where unemployment reached double-digit levels. One of them was the capital region, which saw its jobless rate print at 14.4%.
  • Elsewhere, Philippine Value of Production Index rose 154.3% Y/Y in Apr after a 74.2% decline in Mar, with a similar rebound observed in the volume of production.
  • The Philippine regulator gave a nod to the Sinopharm Covid-19 jab as the country is trying to facilitate inoculating its population. Meanwhile, Pres Duterte urged Filipinos to turn up for their second vaccine doses after data revealed that about half of people who received their first jab failed to complete the two-dose regimen.
  • Later this week, focus turns to trade balance, due Wednesday.

Fig. 1: Results from the April 2021 Labour Force Survey (LFS)

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority

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