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Latest opinion polls continue to show the governing United Right coalition, dominated by the conservative Law and Justice Party (PiS) below the level of support it would need to secure another majority in the Polish parliament (Sejm). The IBRiS poll is also another in an increasingly long line of polls showing the big-tent, pro-EU Poland 2050 (PL2050) as the second most-popular party in Poland, overtaking the centre-right Civic Coalition (KO), which currently sits as the main opposition in parliament.

  • Poland, IBRiS poll: PiS: 37% (+1), PL2050: 19% (-1), KO: 18% (-2), The Left (Lewica): 11% (+1), Confederation: 9% (+1), Polish People's Party (PSL): 5% (-1). +/- vs. 27-28 March 2021. Fieldwork: 24-25 April 2021. Sample size: 1,100
  • The governing United Right coalition remains inherently unstable, with the two smaller parties often clashing with PiS over policy. Should either United Poland or Agreement pull their support from the gov't it could result in a snap election, which at present could result in a chaotic outcome with a number of parties attempting to put together coalitions.