Free Trial
GBPUSD TECHS

Hammer Candle Still In Play As Correction Extends

US OUTLOOK/OPINION

BofA Warns Of Credit Market Dysfunction

EURUSD TECHS

S/T Gains Confirmed Corrective

Real-time Actionable Insight

Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.

Free Access

PM's Social Democrats Retain Sizable Polling Lead A Month From Election

SWEDEN

Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson's centre-left Social Democrats retain a sizable lead in the latest polling from Novus exactly one month out from the general election taking place 11 September.

  • Novus poll: Social Democrats: 31% (-1), Sweden Democrats: 19% (+2), Moderates: 19% (-1), Left Party: 7% (-2), Centre Party: 7% (+2), Christian Democrats: 6% (-1), Greens: 5% (+1), Liberals: 5%. +/- vs. 6-26 June 2022, Fieldwork: 1-7 August 2022, Sample size: 1,893
  • The Social Democrats have held a significant polling lead over the main opposition centre-right Moderates and the right-wing nationalist Sweden Democrats for several months. The party gained support following Andersson taking over from former PM Stefan Lofven, and maintained this level of backing as Nordic tensions with Russia escalated and resulted in Sweden making a bid to join NATO.
  • The Social Democrats' victory is not guaranteed, though. The Social Democrats rely on support from other parties in the leftist 'red bloc' (environmentalist Greens, socialist Left Party, agrarian Centre Party) to govern either in coalition or as a minority gov't.
  • The centre-right 'blue bloc' (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, conservative Christian Democrats, and libertarian Liberals) does not have a party with as much support as the Social Democrats, but put together their total support and seat total could rival that of the red bloc in the election.
  • Even with a change in gov't, we would not expect to see a change in Stockholm's stance on NATO membership, with almost all political parties now avowedly in favour of the accession process.
247 words

To read the full story

Why Subscribe to

MarketNews.com

MNI is the leading provider

of news and intelligence specifically for the Global Foreign Exchange and Fixed Income Markets, providing timely, relevant, and critical insight for market professionals and those who want to make informed investment decisions. We offer not simply news, but news analysis, linking breaking news to the effects on capital markets. Our exclusive information and intelligence moves markets.

Our credibility

for delivering mission-critical information has been built over three decades. The quality and experience of MNI's team of analysts and reporters across America, Asia and Europe truly sets us apart. Our Markets team includes former fixed-income specialists, currency traders, economists and strategists, who are able to combine expertise on macro economics, financial markets, and political risk to give a comprehensive and holistic insight on global markets.

Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson's centre-left Social Democrats retain a sizable lead in the latest polling from Novus exactly one month out from the general election taking place 11 September.

  • Novus poll: Social Democrats: 31% (-1), Sweden Democrats: 19% (+2), Moderates: 19% (-1), Left Party: 7% (-2), Centre Party: 7% (+2), Christian Democrats: 6% (-1), Greens: 5% (+1), Liberals: 5%. +/- vs. 6-26 June 2022, Fieldwork: 1-7 August 2022, Sample size: 1,893
  • The Social Democrats have held a significant polling lead over the main opposition centre-right Moderates and the right-wing nationalist Sweden Democrats for several months. The party gained support following Andersson taking over from former PM Stefan Lofven, and maintained this level of backing as Nordic tensions with Russia escalated and resulted in Sweden making a bid to join NATO.
  • The Social Democrats' victory is not guaranteed, though. The Social Democrats rely on support from other parties in the leftist 'red bloc' (environmentalist Greens, socialist Left Party, agrarian Centre Party) to govern either in coalition or as a minority gov't.
  • The centre-right 'blue bloc' (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, conservative Christian Democrats, and libertarian Liberals) does not have a party with as much support as the Social Democrats, but put together their total support and seat total could rival that of the red bloc in the election.
  • Even with a change in gov't, we would not expect to see a change in Stockholm's stance on NATO membership, with almost all political parties now avowedly in favour of the accession process.