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PM Set To Deliver Statement On Gray Report At Bottom Of Hour

UK

UK PM Boris Johnson is set to deliver a statement to the House of Commons regarding a report into gatherings held in Downing Street in 2020 and 2021 in breach of the COVID lockdown rules in place at the time.

  • Link to livestream can be found here.
  • PM Johnson under major pressure as a result of the long-running scandal that has dominated front pages at a time when the gov't would have been hoping to reap the political rewards of largely overcoming the Omicron COVID wave without a nationwide lockdown.
  • The release of the heavily redacted report has not shifted betting markets, with Johnson still seen as cumulatively most likely to leave office in 2022, although Q222 now seen as the most likely time for him to leave office this year (see chart below).
Chart 1. Implied Probability of PM Johnson Exit Date, by Quarter, %

Source: Smarkets

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