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Free AccessPoll: Macron, Le Pen Set For Run-Off, Macron Retains Lead
Latest hypothetical opinion polling from Harris Interactive shows incumbent President Emmanuel Macron and right-wing National Rally leader Marine Le Pen as the two most likely candidates to make the second-round run-off in next year's presidential election. The poll then shows Macron in a good position to beat Le Pen once again for a second term in office. The Macron-Le Pen second round takes place with either Xavier Bertrand or Valerie Percresse as the candidate for the Gaullist centre-right Les Republicains.
- Harris Interactive poll: Scenario: Bertrand as LR (EPP) candidate: Le Pen (RN-ID): 28% (+1), Macron (LREM-RE): 25%, Bertrand (LR-EPP): 14%, Melenchon (FI-LEFT): 12% (-1). +/- vs. 21-24 May 2021. Fieldwork: 28-31 May 2021, Sample size: 1,316
- Harris Interactive poll: Scenario: Pecresse as LR (EPP) candidate. Le Pen (RN-ID): 28% (+1), Macron (LREM-RE): 27%, Melenchon (FI-LEFT): 13%, Pécresse (LR-EPP): 10% (-1). +/- vs. 21-24 May 2021. Fieldwork: 28-31 May 2021. Sample size: 1,316
- Harris Interactive poll: Run-off: Macron (LREM-RE): 54% (-), Le Pen (RN-ID): 46% (-). +/- vs. 21-24 May 2021. Fieldwork: 28-31 May 2021. Sample size: 1,316
- In the run-off of the 2017 presidential election, Macron defeated Le Pen by a margin of 66.1% to 33.9%, with the latest polling showing a significant narrowing in the gulf between the two candidates since then.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.