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/POST-FOMC ANALYST VIEWS SUMMARY: Most..........>

FED
FED: /POST-FOMC ANALYST VIEWS SUMMARY: Most sell-side analysts who reviewed the
FOMC meeting (we have gone through 22 post-mtg notes) believed the Fed came out
with a dovish message that was - if anything - even more dovish than the market
had expected.
- It was certainly more dovish than most sell-side analysts had expected,
prompting several who had forecast no cuts in 2019 to revise their outlooks
(Goldman, UBS, Morgan Stanley).
- In fact, UBS and MS have gone from no cuts in 2019 to 50bps in cuts in July,
which is more aggressive than several other banks - the adage 'there is none so
pious as the recently converted' comes to mind.
- Most analysts did not change their view, though many noted that the risks of a
50bps near-term cut had been much elevated.
- Some took a much less dovish interpretation of the meeting's outcome,
particularly Scotiabank. 

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