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Post-MAS Strength Continues

SGD

After strengthening yesterday in the wake of a bumper GDP print and less dovish tilt from the MAS, Singapore dollar continued its move higher as the greenback weakened as safe haven demand waned. USD/SGD moved lower throughout Wednesday's session, dropping as low as 1.3355, the pair last trades a 1.3361.

  • Support for the pair is now seen at 1.3344, a 50% retracement level, with additional support at the 100-day moving average at 1.3335. On the upside bulls look for a break of the 50-day moving average at 1.3369, after which 1.3388, a 38.2% retracement level comes into the play. The level held despite several tests in March and was only significantly broken post MAS/GDP yesterday, so is expected to offer significant resistance.
  • Following the MAS announcement yesterday, there was speculation that the central bank would be open to a mild appreciation of S$NEER. Standard Chartered said ""We expect the S$NEER to trade in the strong half of the policy band in the coming quarters," adding that there was "scope for further upside for the S$NEER from current levels".
  • Fig.1: USD/SGD

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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