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Free Access###POV: NOTHING TO SEE HERE, NORGES.....>
NORGES BANK: ###POV: NOTHING TO SEE HERE, NORGES BANK TO POINT TO JUNE
-Analysts are unanimous in seeing no change in policy from the Norges Bank at
May's meeting. This month's decision is 'interim' and will entail just a brief
press release and a one page summary of the board's assessment of economic
developments. With no new rate path, economic projections or monetary policy
report, the bank are likely to continue to point toward the June meeting as
being the next opportune month to hike rates.
-Dovish risk: In the executive summary, a material downgrade in language from
"the outlook for the policy rate for the period ahead is little changed" would
be a signal that the June meeting is far from cemented. This would allow EUR/NOK
to re-target recent cycle highs and eye February's best levels of 9.8807.
-Hawkish risk: The bar is high for a hawkish surprise this month, but a notable
upgrade to the statement Thursday could cement June as the next rate hike month.
More focus is likely to rest on Friday's CPI release, with underlying CPI seen
dropping to 2.5% from 2.7%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.