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###POV: NOTHING TO SEE HERE, NORGES.....>

NORGES BANK
NORGES BANK: ###POV: NOTHING TO SEE HERE, NORGES BANK TO POINT TO JUNE
-Analysts are unanimous in seeing no change in policy from the Norges Bank at
May's meeting. This month's decision is 'interim' and will entail just a brief
press release and a one page summary of the board's assessment of economic
developments. With no new rate path, economic projections or monetary policy
report, the bank are likely to continue to point toward the June meeting as
being the next opportune month to hike rates.
-Dovish risk: In the executive summary, a material downgrade in language from
"the outlook for the policy rate for the period ahead is little changed" would
be a signal that the June meeting is far from cemented. This would allow EUR/NOK
to re-target recent cycle highs and eye February's best levels of 9.8807.
-Hawkish risk: The bar is high for a hawkish surprise this month, but a notable
upgrade to the statement Thursday could cement June as the next rate hike month.
More focus is likely to rest on Friday's CPI release, with underlying CPI seen
dropping to 2.5% from 2.7%.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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