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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SLOVAKIA
Following the first round of the presidential election on 23 March attention now turns towards the run-off on 6 April. Former Foreign Minister Ivan Korcok won a first-round plurality, taking 42.5% of the vote. He is an independent, but has the backing of the main oppostion liberal Progressive Slovakia. Joining Korcok in the run-off will be former PM and current Speaker of the National Council Peter Pellegrini, who took 37.0% of the vote. Pellegrini is leader of the centre-left Hlas-SD and has the endorsement of PM Robert Fico's left-wing populist Smer-SD.
- No polling has been released since the first round took place. The hypothetical polling on a Korcok-Pellegrini run-off carried out prior to the election has consistently shown Pellegrini in the lead.
- Third-placed candidate Stefan Harabin, who won 11.7% of the vote, was backed by two nationalist pro-Russian parties. As such his supporters are more likely to opt for Pellegrini than the pro-EU Korcok in the run-off. However, Korcok's strong performance could act as a boost for his campaign, and he requires a smaller increase in voters to push him over the 50% level.
- Given Slovakia's position as a eurozone and EU member the outcome of the election has notable implications both domestically and regionally. A win for Pellegrini would bolster Fico's position given he would not face a political opponent in the president's office.
- A Korcok victory could maintain incumbent President Zuzana Caputova's stance of criticising Fico's policies for allegedly being anti-EU, anti-Ukrainian, and pro-Russian.
Chart 1. Second Round Run-Off Opinon Polling, % (All carried out pre-first round)
Source: Sanep, NMS, Ipsos, Focus, AKO, Median, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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