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Free AccessPressure Remains Evident
YM & XM drift back towards their overnight lows after an early uptick. A reminder that a clean break below the respective overnight bases would expose the cycle troughs witnessed back in mid-June. Cash ACGBs run 14-22bp cheaper across the curve, with a fresh bear flattening impulse asserting itself there.
- This comes as participants continue to adjust to the deluge of central bank meetings observed since Wednesday’s Sydney close (headlined by the Fed), leading to a re-assessment of RBA terminal rate expectations, which now sit close to 4.10%, still some way shy of the ~4.50% that was seen back in June, but ~20bp higher than what was seen at Wednesday’s close.
- A shunt wider in 3-Year EFP has resulted in a flattening of the 3-/10-Year EFP box, with 10-Year EFP little changed to a touch wider.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.